Since 2003, Nfl Teams Favored by 15 Points or More on the Spread Are 63-3 Straight Up, Which Translates to A.955 Winning Percentage. If There Is Any Concern in This Matchup, It Is the Fact That the Texans Had Extra Time to Prepare for the Bills After Playing Last Thursday Against the Panthers. Still, with Under Center and Little Talent in the Secondary, Buffalo Should Win This Contest with Ease.

The Saints Are Undefeated This Season When They Are Not Missing Eight Assistant Coaches on Game Day Due to a Covid-19 Outbreak. in Week 1, New Orleans Embarrassed the Packers 38-3. Last Week, the Saints Defense Was Dominant in a 28-13 Victory Against the New England Patriots. Quarterback Is Unlikely to Make a Run at Most Valuable Player This Fall, but He Is a Capable Signal Caller, Who Should Be Able to Win More Often Than Not with One of the League’s Best Defenses on the Other Side of the Ball. the New York Giants Have Looked Terrible in Each of Their First Three Contests in 2021. They Were Blown out at Home in Their Season Opener Before Losing to an Unimpressive Washington Football Team in Week 2. at Home Again in Week 3, They Lost to a Previously Winless Atlanta Falcons Team That Lost by 26 Points at Home to the Hapless Philadelphia Eagles. It Seems Illogical to Expect the Giants to Put up Much of a Fight on the Road Against a Far Superior New Orleans Team in Week 4.

Packers (Vs. Steelers)

Is Still Elite. After Arguably His Worst Performance as a Professional in Week 1 Against the Saints, He Responded with a Surgical Performance Against the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football, Completing 22-of-27 Passes for 255 Yards and Four Touchdowns. Against the San Francisco 49Ers, He Would Have Had His Second Consecutive Game with Better Than a 70 Percent Completion Rate If Not for a Necessary Spike to Stop the Clock for the Game-Winning Field Goal on the Final Drive. in Week 4, Green Bay Has a Near-Automatic Win on Their Schedule Against a Pittsburgh Steelers Team That Looks Like One of the Worst Teams in Football Through Three Weeks. Pittsburgh’s Offensive Line Has Been Atrocious. Is in Danger of Being Benched After Yet Another Poor Performance. the Packers Should Roll in This One.

Buccaneers (Vs. Patriots)

In the Most Highly Anticipated Game of the Week, and the Buccaneers Will Travel to New England for Sunday Night Football. Both Teams Are Coming off of Losses in Week 3, but Tampa Bay Is in a Much Better Position to Rebound in Week 4. as We Mentioned in Our Preview of the Buccaneers and the Rams Last Week, Los Angeles Was Simply a Bad Matchup for Tampa Bay. and the Patriots Run Far More Slow-Developing Plays, Which Is Not a Winning Recipe Against a Ferocious Buccaneers Defensive Front. Brady Still Has, , Rob Gronkowksi, and Likely as His Top Weapons. Entering Play This Weekend, Tampa Bay Has Scored the Most Points in the Nfl (103), Which Is Nearly Double the Amount of Points That New England Has Scored (54). Bettors Should Expect the Buccaneers to Get Back in the Win Column on Sunday.

Last Week Against the Chicago Bears, the Browns Held and the Chicago Offense to an Incomprehensible 47 Yards of Total Offense on 42 Plays. Cleveland’s Defense Recorded Nine Sacks and Dominated the Time of Possession, Holding the Ball for 39 Minutes and 34 Seconds of the 60 Minute Affair. If Not for Some Overzealous Play-Calling on Fourth Down in the First Half, the Browns Likely Would Have Won by Much More Than 20 Points. and Exhibited Strong Chemistry, Connecting for 77 Yards with Beckham on a Limited Snap Count. the Market Is Overweighting Minnesota’s Win Against the Seattle Seahawks Team That Consistently Struggles on the Road Year in and Year Out. the Vikings Lost to the Bengals in Their Season Opener and Struggled to Stop Anyone in the Desert in Week 2 Against the Arizona Cardinals. Expect Cleveland to Have Their Way with Minnesota on Sunday in a Game That Might Not Be All That Close.

The Titans Have Not Impressed Anyone During the Early Portion of This Season, but It Is Hard Not to Trust Them to Get a Win This Weekend Against the New York Jets. Has Been Inconsistent in the Young Season, Throwing for More Than 212 Yards Only Once in Three Games, and Totaling Three Interceptions Already. the Titans Defense Is Still Unreliable, but They Get to Face One of the Worst Quarterbacks in the Nfl in Week 4. in His First Three Career Starts, Has Thrown for Only 628 Yards, Completing 55.2 Percent of His Passes, with Two Touchdowns and Seven Interceptions. Wilson Has Also Been Sacked 15 Times. Despite Their Flaws, Tennessee Should Be a Winner This Sunday.

Schmitto’s Nfl Week 4 Picks Against the Spread

*Week 4 Lines Are from Draftkings Pick’em Pool

Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles +6.5

Current Consensus Line: Chiefs -7

Panthers at Cowboys -4.5

Current Consensus Line: Cowboys -4.5

Ravens Vs. Broncos -0.5

Current Consensus Line: Broncos -0.5

Browns at Vikings +2.5

Current Consensus Line: Browns -2.5

Buccaneers at Patriots +6.5

Current Consensus Line: Buccaneers -7

Straight up & Against the Spread

By Alexander Ross

• Oct 8, 2026 • 9 min read

Direct Answer • Key Takeaway

After Going 10-6 in Both Week 1 and Week 2, We Delivered a 15-1 Week 3 Performance to Move to 35-13 (72.9%) on the Season. We Look to Stay Hot as We Reveal Our Week 4 Nfl Pick’em Selections!

Alexander Ross

Gaming, Esports & Interactive Media Writer

Alexander Ross has covered the video game industry for a decade, writing deep dives on game design, esports tournaments, VR developments, and gaming culture.

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